Look, Up In The Sky – It’s The Bradley Model!April 3, 2013
Written by Danny Riley
Have you ever heard of the Bradley Model? Many of you probably haven’t, but it’s something you should know about. And if you have not heard of the Bradley Model then you more than likely don’t know who Tom Bradley is either. Or how about Arch Crawford or Peter Eliades?
Well, let me fill you in and give you some links to find out more. Part of my learning curve with the Pit Bull was reading about Arch Crawford, a well-respected researcher who uses astronomical and natural cycles.
Peter Eliades is known for his company Stockmarket Cycles and some outstanding market forecasts in the mid -1970s. He was used by Fidelity Select for many years and has had some notable calls, including a 1999 article in Barron’s, ridiculed at the time, where he correctly predicted it would be years before the Dow would significantly breach 10,000.
The Bradley siderograph was developed in the 1940s by Donald Bradley to forecast the stock markets. Bradley’s theory was that natural forces affect human emotions, and he categorized 190 planetary position combinations into his Long-Term and Middle-Term Indicators. http://aunegl.com/bradleyindex.htm
Bradley assigned numerical values to certain astronomical configurations for every day, and the sum is the siderograph (the prefix “sidero” means stars). William Eng, a noted technical analyst, singled out the Bradley as the only “excellent” timing indicator.
Peter Eliades of Stockmarket Cycles wrote, “Theoretically, the dates of the turns in the Bradley are more important than the actual magnitude of the moves, but the recent indications of turns have been eerily accurate.”
2013 Bradley Turn Dates List
Most important dates:
- January 29, 2013
- June 22, 2013
- October 8, 2013
- November 3, 2013
- January 1, 2014
In 2013 there are many tiny spikes. “One could mark 11 dates in the standard model between February & June 2013. With a window of +/- 1 week almost every day would be marked as a potential turn – which is meaningless. Moreover, with such flat counter-trends even a tiny change in the formula leads to date change, making the turning dates not statistically robust at all.”
You might be surprised who pays attention to the Bradley Model, and it can be part of your daily trading toolbox too. It doesn’t have to be front and center, but it should be kept close by. Over the years of working with the Pit Bull we have seen some major turning points. I can’t say it hits it all the time, but when it does it hits hard and fast …
Our view: It’s been pretty much the same as it’s been all year — higher. I know it’s painful to see the S&P go up like it is doing, but if you maintain a long bias and buy weakness you’re doing pretty good. At the heart of trading is the trend, and if you’re constantly looking to sell because you’re not long, well, you’re missing the boat. That’s all I have to say about that!